The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 13, 2026

Rufo / Iglesias v Fernandez / Calvo

L. RufoV. Iglesias
64
C. FernandezM. Calvo
Winner
76
Court 101:53

Pre-match odds

Rufo / Iglesias

5%

Avg Elo 1775

Fernandez / Calvo

95%

Avg Elo 2025

Elo gap 250

Fernandez / Calvo delivered as 95% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rufo / IglesiasFernandez / Calvo

46%
Points won
54%
53%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
47%
55%
1st-serve points won
67%
40%
2nd-serve points won
38%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
38%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
11
Service games
11
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
53%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
47%
56%
1st-serve points won
71%
25%
2nd-serve points won
17%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
83%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
50%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6
0
Double faults
1

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
53%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
47%
53%
1st-serve points won
61%
50%
2nd-serve points won
57%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Rufo / Iglesias first, Fernandez / Calvo second.

140 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Fernandez / Calvo take it 7–2

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 2–5
    8. 2–6
    Tiebreak

Set 24–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–15
    7. 15–30
    8. 30–30
    9. 30–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–ABP
    12. 40–40
    13. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Fernandez / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.