The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 13, 2026

Ustero / Sanchez v Velasco / Eugenio

A. UsteroA. Sanchez
Winner
66
J. VelascoR. Eugenio
23
Center Court01:03

Pre-match odds

Ustero / Sanchez

95%

Avg Elo 2045

Velasco / Eugenio

5%

Avg Elo 1790

Elo gap 255

Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 95% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ustero / SanchezVelasco / Eugenio

60%
Points won
40%
73%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
27%
71%
1st-serve points won
47%
86%
2nd-serve points won
56%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
44%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
62%
Break points converted
100%
10
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
61%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
39%
53%
1st-serve points won
39%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
89%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
11%
93%
1st-serve points won
54%
67%
2nd-serve points won
57%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
7%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Ustero / Sanchez first, Velasco / Eugenio second.

86 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Ustero / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.