The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 13, 2026

Alonso / Guinart v Gonzalez / Josemaria

Center Court01:04

Pre-match odds

Alonso / Guinart

5%

Avg Elo 1760

Gonzalez / Josemaria

95%

Avg Elo 2013

Elo gap 254

Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 95% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alonso / GuinartGonzalez / Josemaria

38%
Points won
62%
46%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
54%
44%
1st-serve points won
75%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
45%
5
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

39%
Points won
61%
45%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
55%
43%
1st-serve points won
68%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
43%
5
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Set 2

36%
Points won
64%
48%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
52%
45%
1st-serve points won
81%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
19%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
8
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Alonso / Guinart first, Gonzalez / Josemaria second.

80 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break

Set 21–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Gonzalez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.