The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 13, 2025

Barbosa / Pascoal v Garcia / Garcia

H. BarbosaV. Pascoal
Winner
66
A. GarciaA. Garcia
14

Pre-match odds

Barbosa / Pascoal

44%

Avg Elo 1472

Garcia / Garcia

56%

Avg Elo 1492

Elo gap 20

Barbosa / Pascoal won as slight underdogs (44%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.