The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenJune 19, 2026

Sanchez / Gutierrez v Ruiz / Hernandez

Court Central - PavilhÃo Multiusos De Paredes

Pre-match odds

Upset
Sanchez / Gutierrez

32%

Avg Elo 1649

Ruiz / Hernandez

68%

Avg Elo 1715

Elo gap 66

Sanchez / Gutierrez won with a 32% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.