Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026
Fdz Lancha / Rubio v Nieto / Yanguas
Pre-match odds
Fdz Lancha / Rubio
4%
Avg Elo 1524
Nieto / Yanguas
96%
Avg Elo 1804
Elo gap 280
Nieto / Yanguas delivered as 96% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Fdz Lancha / RubioNieto / Yanguas
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 14%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 10
46%
54%
38%
50%
86%
39%
29%
33%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 17%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
47%
62%
34%
58%
83%
35%
25%
33%
4
6
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 58%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 60%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
43%
42%
44%
40%
100%
46%
33%
33%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.