The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Mouriño / Quilez v Melendez / Rubio

F. MouriñoM. Quilez
Winner
66
Á. MelendezG. Rubio
43
Court 2 Nic01:35

Pre-match odds

Mouriño / Quilez

72%

Avg Elo 1631

Melendez / Rubio

28%

Avg Elo 1548

Elo gap 83

Mouriño / Quilez delivered as 72% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Mouriño / QuilezMelendez / Rubio

57%
Points won
43%
63%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
37%
60%
1st-serve points won
49%
83%
2nd-serve points won
38%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
50%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
67%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
33%
64%
1st-serve points won
50%
80%
2nd-serve points won
60%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
40%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
59%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
41%
58%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
20%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Mouriño / Quilez first, Melendez / Rubio second.

106 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Mouriño / Quilez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Melendez / Rubio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.